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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Up 63%
Total Value
$312.93
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 8 top traders (63%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x16cba142...0776cc
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-30-2026-5pm-et