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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?
Resolved Yes. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
No 75%
Total Value
$297.2
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 8 top traders (75%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x67465e97...7d4410
Slug
highest-temperature-in-amsterdam-on-november-1-2026-12c