Consensus PnL $297K · win rate 89% (88–11, n=99) · PM monthly #84 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$296.6K
Record
88W / 11L
Win Rate
89.0%
of 99 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#257
Source
PM monthly #84
Trades
908
Markets
465
Volume
$8.8M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP RankingsYes $4.0K · now 98¢ · in at 98¢with the consensus (60% of 5)
Specialties
95 settled consensus markets · held side won 89% at an average entry of 81¢- Tennis
+7 pts
side won 91% of 66 · avg entry 84¢
ROI +11%
- MMA
+15 pts
side won 91% of 22 · avg entry 76¢
ROI +14%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 20% of 5)
- 30–50¢: 7%(won 43% of 7)
- 50–70¢: 9%(won 78% of 9)
- 70¢ and up: 78%(won 100% of 74)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.