Consensus PnL $2.6K · win rate 82% (108–24, n=132) · PM monthly #223 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$2.6K
Record
108W / 24L
Win Rate
82.0%
of 132 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#386
Source
PM monthly #223
Trades
9
Markets
156
Volume
$2.0K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 2 on the consensus side (0%)- Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes $14 · now 20¢ · in at 21¢against the consensus (No)
- Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Yes $4 · now 1¢ · in at 0¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
10 settled consensus markets · held side won 80% at an average entry of 78¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50AB's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 10%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 20%(won 50% of 2)
- 70¢ and up: 70%(won 100% of 7)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.