Consensus PnL $4.7K · win rate 49% (870–918, n=1788) · PM monthly #844 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$4.7K
Record
870W / 918L
Win Rate
49.0%
of 1788 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1834
Source
PM monthly #844
Trades
70
Markets
1,824
Volume
$208.0K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Courmayeur: Noma Noha Akugue vs Alina CharaevaAlina Charaeva $122 · now 100¢ · in at 58¢with the consensus (83% of 13)
Specialties
771 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 52¢- Tennis
+48 pts
side won 99% of 391 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +48%
- MLB
+44 pts
side won 98% of 199 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +43%
- College Football
+49 pts
side won 100% of 37 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +52%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 96% of 26)
- 30–50¢: 29%(won 99% of 220)
- 50–70¢: 68%(won 99% of 523)
- 70¢ and up: 0%(won 100% of 2)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.