Consensus PnL $14K · win rate 54% (132–114, n=246) · was PM monthly #824 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$13.8K
Record
132W / 114L
Win Rate
54.0%
of 246 settled
Batting Avg
75.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1520
Source
PM monthly #824
Trades
319
Markets
296
Volume
$899.5K
Specialties
174 settled consensus markets · held side won 82% at an average entry of 53¢- Soccer
+37 pts
side won 92% of 37 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +40%
- Tennis
+29 pts
side won 81% of 112 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +39%
- NFL
+33 pts
side won 85% of 13 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +41%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 6%(won 0% of 10)
- 30–50¢: 32%(won 85% of 55)
- 50–70¢: 55%(won 88% of 96)
- 70¢ and up: 7%(won 92% of 13)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.