Consensus PnL $27K · win rate 52% (210–193, n=403) · PM monthly #868 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$27.1K
Record
210W / 193L
Win Rate
52.0%
of 403 settled
Batting Avg
80.6%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1075
Source
PM monthly #868
Record (90 d)
189/205 · 92%
Trades
1,044
Markets
417
Volume
$300.0K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz $854 · now 26¢ · in at 30¢against the consensus (MOUZ)
Specialties
213 settled consensus markets · held side won 92% at an average entry of 60¢- Esports
+32 pts
side won 92% of 209 · avg entry 60¢
ROI +39%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 75% of 8)
- 30–50¢: 24%(won 88% of 52)
- 50–70¢: 42%(won 91% of 89)
- 70¢ and up: 30%(won 97% of 64)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.