Consensus PnL -$36K · win rate 81% (48–11, n=59) · was PM monthly #977 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-35.8K
Record
48W / 11L
Win Rate
81.0%
of 59 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#328
Source
PM monthly #977
Record (90 d)
11/11 · 100%
Trades
98
Markets
61
Volume
$322.5K
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Specialties
48 settled consensus markets · held side won 90% at an average entry of 62¢- Esports
+32 pts
side won 86% of 22 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +33%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 31%(won 80% of 15)
- 50–70¢: 29%(won 86% of 14)
- 70¢ and up: 38%(won 100% of 18)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.