Consensus PnL $8.9K · win rate 75% (95–32, n=127) · PM monthly #909 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$8.9K
Record
95W / 32L
Win Rate
75.0%
of 127 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#583
Source
PM monthly #909
Trades
4
Markets
144
Volume
$69.1K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Under $634 · now 76¢ · in at 53¢with the consensus (75% of 17)
- Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson LeiteWilson Leite $50 · now 100¢ · in at 89¢with the consensus (60% of 10)
Specialties
78 settled consensus markets · held side won 85% at an average entry of 72¢- Tennis
+13 pts
side won 85% of 55 · avg entry 73¢
ROI +17%
- Soccer
+10 pts
side won 88% of 17 · avg entry 78¢
ROI +12%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 0% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 6%(won 80% of 5)
- 50–70¢: 28%(won 77% of 22)
- 70¢ and up: 63%(won 92% of 49)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.