Consensus PnL $2.9K · win rate 76% (363–117, n=480) · PM monthly #514 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$2.9K
Record
363W / 117L
Win Rate
76.0%
of 480 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#539
Source
PM monthly #514
Trades
32
Markets
496
Volume
$22.4K
Specialties
95 settled consensus markets · held side won 94% at an average entry of 52¢- Tennis
+43 pts
side won 95% of 39 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +33%
- NFL
+44 pts
side won 95% of 21 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +60%
- College Football
+34 pts
side won 88% of 24 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +44%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 71% of 7)
- 30–50¢: 19%(won 94% of 18)
- 50–70¢: 72%(won 96% of 68)
- 70¢ and up: 2%(won 100% of 2)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.