Consensus PnL $232K · win rate 89% (195–23, n=218) · was PM monthly #970 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$231.6K
Record
195W / 23L
Win Rate
89.0%
of 218 settled
Batting Avg
25.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#255
Source
PM monthly #970
Trades
256
Markets
323
Volume
$678.0K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Raptors vs. LakersLakers $5.5K · now 57¢ · in at 65¢with the consensus (56% of 18)
- Celtics vs. MagicCeltics $552 · now 71¢ · in at 67¢with the consensus (43% of 25)
Specialties
244 settled consensus markets · held side won 98% at an average entry of 57¢- NBA
+40 pts
side won 97% of 208 · avg entry 58¢
ROI +39%
- Other Sports
+45 pts
side won 100% of 36 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +47%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 100% of 6)
- 30–50¢: 24%(won 93% of 59)
- 50–70¢: 50%(won 98% of 121)
- 70¢ and up: 24%(won 100% of 58)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.