Consensus PnL $33K · win rate 100% (1–0, n=1) · PM monthly #625 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$32.7K
Record
1W / 0L
Win Rate
100.0%
of 1 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#70
Source
PM monthly #625
Trades
2
Markets
3
Volume
$74.8K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 2 on the consensus side (50%)- US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No $18K · now 58¢ · in at 66¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No $11K · now 65¢ · in at 57¢with the consensus (69% of 130)
Specialties
1 settled consensus market · held side won 100% at an average entry of 23¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0x57D579b361F5586874E409749E93953914fb060D-1776337925471's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 100%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.