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6E
Consensus PnL $27K · win rate 41% (16–23, n=39) · was PM monthly #831 · holds 2 consensus positions
0x6e35f901...24db8ca4Polymarket
⚖️Arb🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$27.3K
Record
16W / 23L
Win Rate
41.0%
of 39 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2090
Source
PM monthly #831
Trades
92
Markets
68
Volume
$126.0K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes $1.7K · now 13¢ · in at 13¢with the consensus (92% of 13)
- Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes $512 · now 2¢ · in at 2¢with the consensus (83% of 6)
Specialties
17 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 55¢- MMA
+44 pts
side won 100% of 13 · avg entry 56¢
ROI +38%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 12%(won 100% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 6%(won 100% of 1)
- 50–70¢: 76%(won 100% of 13)
- 70¢ and up: 6%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.