Consensus PnL -$37K · win rate 30% (114–261, n=375) · was PM monthly #933 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-37.0K
Record
114W / 261L
Win Rate
30.0%
of 375 settled
Batting Avg
75.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#2636
Source
PM monthly #933
Record (90 d)
83/247 · 34%
Trades
961
Markets
432
Volume
$373.3K
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Specialties
384 settled consensus markets · held side won 30% at an average entry of 24¢- Tennis
+6 pts
side won 29% of 330 · avg entry 23¢
ROI +6%
- NBA
+7 pts
side won 44% of 16 · avg entry 37¢
ROI 0%
Weakest: Soccer — held side won 33% of 33 at an average 34¢ entry (−1 pts against the price), ROI −7%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 74%(won 21% of 283)
- 30–50¢: 22%(won 53% of 86)
- 50–70¢: 4%(won 60% of 15)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.