Consensus PnL $20K · win rate 43% (85–111, n=196) · was PM monthly #985 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$19.8K
Record
85W / 111L
Win Rate
43.0%
of 196 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2287
Source
PM monthly #985
Record (90 d)
78/188 · 41%
Trades
6
Markets
225
Volume
$98.0K
Specialties
177 settled consensus markets · held side won 42% at an average entry of 45¢- Crypto
+7 pts
side won 47% of 15 · avg entry 40¢
ROI +3%
Weakest: Esports — held side won 33% of 43 at an average 47¢ entry (−14 pts against the price), ROI −13%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 24%(won 9% of 43)
- 30–50¢: 33%(won 33% of 58)
- 50–70¢: 27%(won 60% of 47)
- 70¢ and up: 16%(won 83% of 29)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.