Consensus PnL -$23K · win rate 64% (272–153, n=425) · was PM monthly #968 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-22.6K
Record
272W / 153L
Win Rate
64.0%
of 425 settled
Batting Avg
93.5%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#679
Source
PM monthly #968
Record (90 d)
263/285 · 92%
Trades
2,851
Markets
427
Volume
$2.0M
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Specialties
269 settled consensus markets · held side won 92% at an average entry of 67¢- Soccer
+26 pts
side won 93% of 255 · avg entry 67¢
ROI +24%
- Tennis
+10 pts
side won 71% of 14 · avg entry 62¢
ROI +24%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 0% of 3)
- 30–50¢: 13%(won 91% of 35)
- 50–70¢: 36%(won 91% of 96)
- 70¢ and up: 50%(won 95% of 135)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.