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F8
Consensus PnL -$31K · win rate 62% (139–85, n=224) · was PM monthly #464 · holds 2 consensus positions
0xf8164a94...9b2d0433Polymarket
🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$-30.8K
Record
139W / 85L
Win Rate
62.0%
of 224 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1078
Source
PM monthly #464
Trades
75
Markets
260
Volume
$293.8K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo SonegoAdolfo Vallejo $14K · now 40¢ · in at 50¢with the consensus (33% of 19)
- Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?Yes $2.1K · now 30¢ · in at 31¢with the consensus (29% of 7)
Specialties
31 settled consensus markets · held side won 77% at an average entry of 50¢- Tennis
+27 pts
side won 81% of 27 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +29%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 16%(won 20% of 5)
- 30–50¢: 29%(won 89% of 9)
- 50–70¢: 45%(won 93% of 14)
- 70¢ and up: 10%(won 67% of 3)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.