Consensus PnL $26K · win rate 65% (184–99, n=283) · was PM monthly #607 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$25.7K
Record
184W / 99L
Win Rate
65.0%
of 283 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#934
Source
PM monthly #607
Trades
33
Markets
284
Volume
$93.9K
Specialties
156 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 62¢- Crypto
+57 pts
side won 100% of 35 · avg entry 43¢
ROI +62%
- Soccer
+31 pts
side won 98% of 86 · avg entry 67¢
ROI +32%
- MLB
+29 pts
side won 100% of 35 · avg entry 71¢
ROI +28%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 100% of 11)
- 30–50¢: 14%(won 95% of 22)
- 50–70¢: 44%(won 99% of 69)
- 70¢ and up: 35%(won 100% of 54)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.