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D1
Consensus PnL $18K · win rate 34% (405–771, n=1176) · holds 2 consensus positions
0xd1465053...24679bf0Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$18.1K
Record
405W / 771L
Win Rate
34.0%
of 1176 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2161
Trades
408
Markets
1,198
Volume
$1.7M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 2 on the consensus side (0%)- Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes $130 · now 14¢ · in at 12¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes $100 · now 11¢ · in at 20¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
726 settled consensus markets · held side won 56% at an average entry of 37¢- Soccer
+18 pts
side won 56% of 724 · avg entry 37¢
ROI +17%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 29%(won 31% of 209)
- 30–50¢: 47%(won 65% of 343)
- 50–70¢: 24%(won 68% of 174)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.