Consensus PnL $15K · win rate 60% (125–85, n=210) · PM monthly #812 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$15.2K
Record
125W / 85L
Win Rate
60.0%
of 210 settled
Batting Avg
50.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1169
Source
PM monthly #812
Trades
6
Markets
215
Volume
$107.1K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Nuno Borges vs Alex MolcanNuno Borges $712 · now 0¢ · in at 59¢against the consensus (Alex Molcan)
Specialties
146 settled consensus markets · held side won 61% at an average entry of 53¢- Soccer
+21 pts
side won 76% of 25 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +14%
- Tennis
+10 pts
side won 61% of 64 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +12%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 33% of 6)
- 30–50¢: 38%(won 58% of 55)
- 50–70¢: 49%(won 63% of 72)
- 70¢ and up: 9%(won 77% of 13)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.