Consensus PnL -$29K · win rate 53% (218–194, n=412) · was PM monthly #850 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$-29.1K
Record
218W / 194L
Win Rate
53.0%
of 412 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1049
Source
PM monthly #850
Record (90 d)
219/417 · 53%
Trades
489
Markets
437
Volume
$620.1K
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Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 2 on the consensus side (0%)- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)Clube do Remo $610 · now 1¢ · in at 42¢against the consensus (SE Palmeiras)
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)Clube do Remo $100 · now 3¢ · in at 66¢against the consensus (SE Palmeiras)
Specialties
383 settled consensus markets · held side won 52% at an average entry of 52¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0xe02066958cfd02ee1fc8a4cdb51b56a1ca50f39b's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Soccer — held side won 52% of 383 at an average 52¢ entry (±0 pts against the price), ROI −4%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 8%(won 16% of 31)
- 30–50¢: 34%(won 35% of 130)
- 50–70¢: 45%(won 62% of 172)
- 70¢ and up: 13%(won 82% of 50)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.