Consensus PnL -$869 · win rate 42% (503–689, n=1192) · PM monthly #930 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
-$868.78
Record
503W / 689L
Win Rate
42.0%
of 1192 settled
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1467
Source
PM monthly #930
Record (90 d)
389/642 · 61%
Trades
0
Markets
1,270
Volume
$1.6M
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes $31 · now 2¢ · in at 8¢with the consensus (100% of 9)
Specialties
644 settled consensus markets · held side won 61% at an average entry of 48¢- Soccer
+13 pts
side won 61% of 636 · avg entry 48¢
ROI +4%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 22%(won 45% of 143)
- 30–50¢: 29%(won 49% of 185)
- 50–70¢: 32%(won 66% of 208)
- 70¢ and up: 17%(won 90% of 108)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.