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F3
Consensus PnL $50K · win rate 56% (46–36, n=82) · PM monthly #292 · holds 1 consensus position
0xf395a47e...96e523ddPolymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$50.5K
Record
46W / 36L
Win Rate
56.0%
of 82 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1413
Source
PM monthly #292
Trades
25
Markets
99
Volume
$302.8K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex $7.9K · now 6¢ · in at 40¢against the consensus (Team Spirit)
Specialties
66 settled consensus markets · held side won 68% at an average entry of 48¢- Esports
+21 pts
side won 70% of 63 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +17%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 17%(won 45% of 11)
- 30–50¢: 29%(won 68% of 19)
- 50–70¢: 52%(won 74% of 34)
- 70¢ and up: 3%(won 100% of 2)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.