Consensus PnL $42K · win rate 72% (180–69, n=249) · PM monthly #750 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$42.1K
Record
180W / 69L
Win Rate
72.0%
of 249 settled
Batting Avg
71.5%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#469
Source
PM monthly #750
Record (90 d)
162/227 · 71%
Trades
4,549
Markets
475
Volume
$2.2M
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Specialties
221 settled consensus markets · held side won 72% at an average entry of 68¢- Soccer
+4 pts
side won 72% of 215 · avg entry 68¢
ROI +2%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 18%(won 8% of 40)
- 30–50¢: 9%(won 47% of 19)
- 50–70¢: 14%(won 71% of 31)
- 70¢ and up: 59%(won 95% of 131)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.