Consensus PnL $17K · win rate 47% (188–215, n=403) · was PM monthly #990 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$16.9K
Record
188W / 215L
Win Rate
47.0%
of 403 settled
Batting Avg
25.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2108
Source
PM monthly #990
Record (90 d)
241/289 · 83%
Trades
135
Markets
1,102
Volume
$2.2M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Dota 2: LEGION vs HULIGANI - Game 2 WinnerLEGION $1.1K · now 0¢ · in at 38¢against the consensus (HULIGANI)
Specialties
202 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 57¢- Esports
+41 pts
side won 99% of 202 · avg entry 57¢
ROI +44%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 8%(won 88% of 17)
- 30–50¢: 34%(won 99% of 69)
- 50–70¢: 25%(won 100% of 50)
- 70¢ and up: 33%(won 100% of 66)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.