Consensus PnL $26K · win rate 85% (11–2, n=13) · PM monthly #825 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$26.2K
Record
11W / 2L
Win Rate
85.0%
of 13 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#252
Source
PM monthly #825
Record (90 d)
6/6 · 100%
Trades
1
Markets
14
Volume
$103.5K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming $16K · now 97¢ · in at 47¢against the consensus (T1)
Specialties
7 settled consensus markets · held side won 86% at an average entry of 48¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 121212121212121212121212's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 29%(won 50% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 14%(won 100% of 1)
- 50–70¢: 57%(won 100% of 4)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.