Consensus PnL $282K · win rate 51% (916–874, n=1790) · was PM monthly #297 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$281.7K
Record
916W / 874L
Win Rate
51.0%
of 1790 settled
Batting Avg
55.8%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1127
Source
PM monthly #297
Record (90 d)
630/1183 · 53%
Trades
44,646
Markets
2,075
Volume
$7.0M
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Specialties
1,606 settled consensus markets · held side won 53% at an average entry of 49¢- Soccer
+5 pts
side won 53% of 1589 · avg entry 48¢
ROI +2%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 31%(won 19% of 498)
- 30–50¢: 24%(won 42% of 388)
- 50–70¢: 20%(won 67% of 314)
- 70¢ and up: 25%(won 96% of 406)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.