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96
Consensus PnL $72K · win rate 53% (81–72, n=153) · was PM monthly #944 · holds 1 consensus position
0x9609d30d...8feba48dPolymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$72.0K
Record
81W / 72L
Win Rate
53.0%
of 153 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1581
Source
PM monthly #944
Trades
78
Markets
173
Volume
$567.5K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes $5.7K · now 53¢ · in at 52¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
68 settled consensus markets · held side won 97% at an average entry of 47¢- Esports
+52 pts
side won 98% of 65 · avg entry 46¢
ROI +51%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 13%(won 100% of 9)
- 30–50¢: 44%(won 97% of 30)
- 50–70¢: 34%(won 96% of 23)
- 70¢ and up: 9%(won 100% of 6)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.