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Consensus PnL $2.9K · win rate 87% (48–7, n=55) · hand-picked wallet · holds 1 consensus position
0x4e4e965a...e69c8bd9Polymarket
@ayatollahdollar🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$2.9K
Record
48W / 7L
Win Rate
87.0%
of 55 settled
Batting Avg
79.1%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#303
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
971
Markets
77
Volume
$167.6K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No $2.9K · now 94¢ · in at 91¢with the consensus (85% of 20)
Specialties
60 settled consensus markets · held side won 90% at an average entry of 84¢- Geopolitics
+6 pts
side won 90% of 58 · avg entry 83¢
ROI +3%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 0% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 5%(won 67% of 3)
- 50–70¢: 7%(won 75% of 4)
- 70¢ and up: 85%(won 96% of 51)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.