Consensus PnL $123K · win rate 69% (49–22, n=71) · PM monthly #352 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$123.3K
Record
49W / 22L
Win Rate
69.0%
of 71 settled
Batting Avg
66.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#799
Source
PM monthly #352
Record (90 d)
113/133 · 85%
Trades
1,312
Markets
1,072
Volume
$5.0M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Dota 2: LEGION vs HULIGANI - Game 2 WinnerHULIGANI $485 · now 100¢ · in at 61¢with the consensus (54% of 38)
- Dota 2: OG vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerOG $261 · now 76¢ · in at 68¢with the consensus (73% of 29)
Specialties
93 settled consensus markets · held side won 96% at an average entry of 75¢- Esports
+20 pts
side won 96% of 93 · avg entry 75¢
ROI +3%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 50% of 8)
- 30–50¢: 5%(won 100% of 5)
- 50–70¢: 9%(won 100% of 8)
- 70¢ and up: 77%(won 100% of 72)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.