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63
Consensus PnL -$55K · win rate 59% (295–202, n=497) · was PM monthly #366 · holds 1 consensus position
0x63bcf78f...f90292c5Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$-54.8K
Record
295W / 202L
Win Rate
59.0%
of 497 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1231
Source
PM monthly #366
Trades
146
Markets
634
Volume
$2.7M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No $41K · now 63¢ · in at 57¢against the consensus (Yes)
Specialties
492 settled consensus markets · held side won 57% at an average entry of 55¢- Esports
+2 pts
side won 57% of 484 · avg entry 54¢
ROI −1%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 18%(won 14% of 88)
- 30–50¢: 23%(won 36% of 115)
- 50–70¢: 28%(won 67% of 139)
- 70¢ and up: 30%(won 89% of 150)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.