Consensus PnL $35 · win rate 100% (2–0, n=2) · was PM monthly #998 · holds 4 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$35.36
Record
2W / 0L
Win Rate
100.0%
of 2 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#53
Source
PM monthly #998
Trades
6
Markets
6
Volume
$300.9K
Top consensus positions
4 in listed consensus markets · 4 of 4 on the consensus side (100%)- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No $268K · now 98¢ · in at 85¢with the consensus (90% of 42)
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No $33K · now 89¢ · in at 74¢with the consensus (67% of 51)
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No $21K · now 86¢ · in at 75¢with the consensus (39% of 34)
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No $18K · now 98¢ · in at 87¢with the consensus (92% of 25)
Specialties
1 settled consensus market · held side won 100% at an average entry of 91¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where BigBusinessPro's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 100%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.