Consensus PnL $36K · win rate 58% (3832–2797, n=6629) · PM monthly #547 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$36.0K
Record
3832W / 2797L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 6629 settled
Batting Avg
44.8%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1271
Source
PM monthly #547
Trades
2,517
Markets
8,880
Volume
$1.8M
Specialties
4,206 settled consensus markets · held side won 56% at an average entry of 50¢- Crypto
+5 pts
side won 56% of 4136 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +4%
- Esports
+4 pts
side won 63% of 41 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +8%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 18%(won 12% of 738)
- 30–50¢: 25%(won 44% of 1040)
- 50–70¢: 42%(won 69% of 1748)
- 70¢ and up: 16%(won 88% of 680)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.