Consensus PnL $13K · win rate 82% (93–21, n=114) · was PM monthly #764 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$13.5K
Record
93W / 21L
Win Rate
82.0%
of 114 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#389
Source
PM monthly #764
Record (90 d)
96/101 · 95%
Trades
4
Markets
122
Volume
$270.9K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Dota 2: LEGION vs HULIGANI - Game 2 WinnerHULIGANI $556 · now 100¢ · in at 83¢with the consensus (59% of 43)
Specialties
101 settled consensus markets · held side won 95% at an average entry of 69¢- Esports
+26 pts
side won 95% of 101 · avg entry 69¢
ROI +26%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 33% of 3)
- 30–50¢: 9%(won 67% of 9)
- 50–70¢: 33%(won 100% of 33)
- 70¢ and up: 55%(won 100% of 56)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.