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5A
Consensus PnL $3.1K · win rate 44% (310–397, n=707) · was PM monthly #1000 · holds 1 consensus position
0x5acf14cf...cdd9ead4Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$3.1K
Record
310W / 397L
Win Rate
44.0%
of 707 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2013
Source
PM monthly #1000
Trades
132
Markets
713
Volume
$275.8K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Will T1 win Worlds 2026?Yes $1.1K · now 23¢ · in at 16¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
343 settled consensus markets · held side won 90% at an average entry of 44¢- Esports
+46 pts
side won 90% of 343 · avg entry 44¢
ROI +46%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 66% of 32)
- 30–50¢: 55%(won 91% of 190)
- 50–70¢: 34%(won 96% of 118)
- 70¢ and up: 1%(won 100% of 3)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.