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Consensus PnL $217K · win rate 46% (409–478, n=887) · was PM monthly #618 · holds 1 consensus position
0x3413c803...d3738ff2Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$216.7K
Record
409W / 478L
Win Rate
46.0%
of 887 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1946
Source
PM monthly #618
Trades
661
Markets
901
Volume
$6.8M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit $31K · now 97¢ · in at 32¢with the consensus (46% of 82)
Specialties
405 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 45¢- Esports
+54 pts
side won 99% of 397 · avg entry 45¢
ROI +54%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 10%(won 98% of 40)
- 30–50¢: 48%(won 98% of 194)
- 50–70¢: 42%(won 100% of 170)
- 70¢ and up: 0%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.