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CB
Consensus PnL -$420 · win rate 50% (185–188, n=373) · was PM monthly #971 · holds 1 consensus position
0xcb0a98f8...657d4887Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
-$420.2
Record
185W / 188L
Win Rate
50.0%
of 373 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1758
Source
PM monthly #971
Trades
25
Markets
380
Volume
$123.6K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2PM ETUp $45 · now 0¢ · in at 18¢against the consensus (Down)
Specialties
188 settled consensus markets · held side won 89% at an average entry of 50¢- Crypto
+38 pts
side won 89% of 186 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +37%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 60% of 10)
- 30–50¢: 29%(won 87% of 54)
- 50–70¢: 64%(won 92% of 120)
- 70¢ and up: 2%(won 100% of 4)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.