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Consensus PnL $41K · win rate 71% (2394–977, n=3371) · was PM monthly #965 · holds 1 consensus position
0x0c3e55cf...21603c4cPolymarket
🔄Contrarian🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$41.1K
Record
2394W / 977L
Win Rate
71.0%
of 3371 settled
Batting Avg
50.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#681
Source
PM monthly #965
Trades
561
Markets
3,540
Volume
$1.3M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?Yes $25 · now 31¢ · in at 41¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
2,078 settled consensus markets · held side won 74% at an average entry of 63¢- Soccer
+11 pts
side won 74% of 2072 · avg entry 63¢
ROI +4%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 13%(won 34% of 260)
- 30–50¢: 15%(won 59% of 302)
- 50–70¢: 26%(won 75% of 536)
- 70¢ and up: 47%(won 88% of 980)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.