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B8
Consensus PnL $46K · win rate 57% (29–22, n=51) · was PM monthly #563 · holds 3 consensus positions
0xb87532a1...ac4f4b16Polymarket
🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$46.2K
Record
29W / 22L
Win Rate
57.0%
of 51 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1362
Source
PM monthly #563
Trades
1
Markets
58
Volume
$523.0K
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 3 on the consensus side (67%)- Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes $6.9K · now 9¢ · in at 39¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes $5.4K · now 19¢ · in at 66¢with the consensus (50% of 14)
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 26-November 1?No $1.0K · now 92¢ · in at 91¢with the consensus (33% of 6)
Specialties
34 settled consensus markets · held side won 76% at an average entry of 57¢- Crypto
+20 pts
side won 76% of 34 · avg entry 57¢
ROI +19%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 15%(won 20% of 5)
- 30–50¢: 9%(won 100% of 3)
- 50–70¢: 41%(won 93% of 14)
- 70¢ and up: 35%(won 75% of 12)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.