Consensus PnL $88K · win rate 63% (168–98, n=266) · PM monthly #423 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$88.2K
Record
168W / 98L
Win Rate
63.0%
of 266 settled
Batting Avg
50.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1026
Source
PM monthly #423
Trades
107
Markets
476
Volume
$2.0M
Specialties
229 settled consensus markets · held side won 90% at an average entry of 62¢- Esports
+28 pts
side won 89% of 214 · avg entry 62¢
ROI +18%
- MMA
+25 pts
side won 100% of 13 · avg entry 75¢
ROI +16%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 47% of 15)
- 30–50¢: 17%(won 71% of 38)
- 50–70¢: 41%(won 96% of 93)
- 70¢ and up: 36%(won 99% of 83)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.