Consensus PnL $77K · win rate 91% (208–21, n=229) · was PM monthly #932 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$77.4K
Record
208W / 21L
Win Rate
91.0%
of 229 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#221
Source
PM monthly #932
Trades
35
Markets
236
Volume
$1.0M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Will Molde FK win on 2026-11-01?Yes $1.7K · now 2¢ · in at 41¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
201 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 52¢- Esports
+48 pts
side won 99% of 116 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +49%
- Soccer
+44 pts
side won 97% of 75 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +46%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 100% of 4)
- 30–50¢: 39%(won 99% of 79)
- 50–70¢: 52%(won 98% of 104)
- 70¢ and up: 7%(won 100% of 14)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.