Consensus PnL $59K · win rate 77% (203–62, n=265) · was PM monthly #998 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$59.0K
Record
203W / 62L
Win Rate
77.0%
of 265 settled
Batting Avg
61.9%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#521
Source
PM monthly #998
Trades
1,430
Markets
642
Volume
$1.7M
Specialties
188 settled consensus markets · held side won 80% at an average entry of 71¢- Tennis
+11 pts
side won 86% of 154 · avg entry 75¢
ROI +4%
- Soccer
+10 pts
side won 67% of 12 · avg entry 57¢
ROI +5%
Weakest: NHL — held side won 50% of 20 at an average 52¢ entry (−2 pts against the price), ROI +3%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 10%(won 11% of 18)
- 30–50¢: 14%(won 58% of 26)
- 50–70¢: 13%(won 76% of 25)
- 70¢ and up: 63%(won 96% of 119)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.