NHL: what top Polymarket traders hold
NHL games and futures. These are the NHL markets on Polymarket in which at least five of the top traders we track hold a position, with the side most of them hold (the consensus), what share of them hold it and the market's own price for that side.
A consensus is a head count of who holds what, not a probability, and following it did not pay on average in our backtests — see how it works.
- Live consensus markets
- 6
- Recently settled, consensus right
- 18 of 40
- Prices as of
- Nov 1, 13:41 UTC
Live NHL consensus markets (6)
- Oilers vs. RangersTraders hold Oilers 36%4 of 11 tradersMarket price 46¢$43K heldagainst the market price
- Utah vs. FlyersTraders hold Utah 43%3 of 8 tradersMarket price 61¢$40K held
- Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Traders hold Yes 100%7 of 7 tradersMarket price 9.5¢$900 heldagainst the market price
- Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Traders hold Yes 100%6 of 6 tradersMarket price 12¢$1K heldagainst the market price
- Senators vs. DucksTraders hold Senators 80%4 of 5 tradersMarket price 52¢$379 held
- Will the Winnipeg Jets record 100+ points?Traders hold Yes 60%3 of 5 tradersMarket price 18¢$201 heldagainst the market price
Top traders in NHL
Tracked traders with 10 or more settled NHL consensus markets whose side won more often than its entry price implied, ranked by how much (on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short lucky run does not rank first). These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero.
- 1.TimeTraveler+56 ptsside won 96% of 69 · avg entry 40¢ · ROI +5%
- 2.BoggsFromShawshank+50 ptsside won 100% of 217 · avg entry 50¢ · ROI +49%
- 3.royalestake+50 ptsside won 99% of 297 · avg entry 49¢ · ROI +50%
- 4.Painfulvoid+49 ptsside won 100% of 220 · avg entry 51¢ · ROI +48%
- 5.Basquetipster+50 ptsside won 100% of 152 · avg entry 50¢ · ROI +49%
- 6.LiquidatedDegen+51 ptsside won 93% of 190 · avg entry 42¢ · ROI +47%
- 7.Lilybaeum+48 ptsside won 100% of 150 · avg entry 52¢ · ROI +46%
- 8.UpTheBlues+49 ptsside won 100% of 86 · avg entry 51¢ · ROI +51%
- 9.hi774c+47 ptsside won 99% of 225 · avg entry 52¢ · ROI +42%
- 10.jizzbucket57+47 ptsside won 100% of 145 · avg entry 53¢ · ROI +44%
Recently settled NHL markets
What the tracked traders held when each market settled, and how it came out. A handful of markets says little about the next one.
- Flames vs. AvalancheResult: AvalancheTraders held Avalanche 63%consensus was right
- Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)Result: AvalancheTraders held Flames 44%consensus was wrong
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Result: AvalancheTraders held Avalanche 54%consensus was right
- Spread: Avalanche (-3.5)Result: FlamesTraders held Avalanche 64%consensus was wrong
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Result: UnderTraders held Over 88%consensus was wrong
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Result: OverTraders held Under 43%consensus was wrong
- Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Result: OverTraders held Under 45%consensus was wrong
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-3.5)Result: CanucksTraders held Maple Leafs 60%consensus was wrong
- Penguins vs. Canadiens: O/U 8.5Result: OverTraders held Under 60%consensus was wrong
- Maple Leafs vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Result: OverTraders held Under 55%consensus was wrong
- Lightning vs. Predators: O/U 7.5Result: OverTraders held Over 80%consensus was right
- Oilers vs. Islanders: O/U 3.5Result: OverTraders held Over 60%consensus was right
Holders update as the tracked traders trade, and prices refresh about once a minute. Only wallets with a position of at least 1 share count as holders; the side is the one with the most money behind it among holders with $100 or more in the market. PolyConsensus is not affiliated with Polymarket and this is not investment advice. More: all topics, the trader leaderboard, large trades.