Consensus PnL -$41K · win rate 60% (439–289, n=728) · was PM monthly #971 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-41.3K
Record
439W / 289L
Win Rate
60.0%
of 728 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1157
Source
PM monthly #971
Trades
181
Markets
760
Volume
$1.0M
Specialties
476 settled consensus markets · held side won 92% at an average entry of 68¢- MLB
+36 pts
side won 100% of 73 · avg entry 64¢
ROI +35%
- College Football
+37 pts
side won 100% of 25 · avg entry 63¢
ROI +37%
- NFL
+31 pts
side won 97% of 31 · avg entry 65¢
ROI +30%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 63% of 8)
- 30–50¢: 7%(won 74% of 31)
- 50–70¢: 48%(won 92% of 227)
- 70¢ and up: 44%(won 96% of 210)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.