Consensus PnL $734K · win rate 55% (883–716, n=1599) · was PM monthly #890 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$734.3K
Record
883W / 716L
Win Rate
55.0%
of 1599 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#976
Source
PM monthly #890
Record (90 d)
348/472 · 74%
Trades
1,736
Markets
1,776
Volume
$8.2M
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Specialties
1,588 settled consensus markets · held side won 57% at an average entry of 49¢- Other Sports
+25 pts
side won 71% of 34 · avg entry 46¢
ROI +20%
- Soccer
+9 pts
side won 55% of 836 · avg entry 46¢
ROI +5%
- NBA
+11 pts
side won 48% of 145 · avg entry 37¢
ROI +3%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 18%(won 24% of 289)
- 30–50¢: 39%(won 47% of 614)
- 50–70¢: 22%(won 75% of 357)
- 70¢ and up: 21%(won 84% of 328)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.