Consensus PnL $31K · win rate 51% (370–358, n=728) · PM monthly #845 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$31.3K
Record
370W / 358L
Win Rate
51.0%
of 728 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1796
Source
PM monthly #845
Record (90 d)
48/52 · 92%
Trades
162
Markets
735
Volume
$1.2M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 3.5Under $2.1K · now 0¢ · in at 60¢against the consensus (Over)
Specialties
409 settled consensus markets · held side won 91% at an average entry of 53¢- Soccer
+43 pts
side won 89% of 97 · avg entry 46¢
ROI +47%
- MLB
+39 pts
side won 91% of 110 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +42%
- Esports
+37 pts
side won 93% of 148 · avg entry 57¢
ROI +39%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 73% of 15)
- 30–50¢: 39%(won 86% of 160)
- 50–70¢: 48%(won 95% of 195)
- 70¢ and up: 10%(won 95% of 39)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.