Consensus PnL $56K · win rate 56% (310–246, n=556) · PM monthly #489 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$55.7K
Record
310W / 246L
Win Rate
56.0%
of 556 settled
Batting Avg
83.4%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#919
Source
PM monthly #489
Record (90 d)
126/214 · 59%
Trades
23,836
Markets
1,277
Volume
$4.8M
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Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 2 on the consensus side (50%)- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group ANemiga Gaming $726 · now 100¢ · in at 51¢against the consensus (Power Rangers)
- Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group BXipto Esports $331 · now 100¢ · in at 83¢with the consensus (53% of 36)
Specialties
537 settled consensus markets · held side won 57% at an average entry of 57¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where Hawk.live's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 23%(won 4% of 122)
- 30–50¢: 15%(won 28% of 79)
- 50–70¢: 25%(won 69% of 132)
- 70¢ and up: 38%(won 92% of 204)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.