Consensus PnL $17 · win rate 100% (5–0, n=5) · PM monthly #806 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$17.01
Record
5W / 0L
Win Rate
100.0%
of 5 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#56
Source
PM monthly #806
Record (90 d)
5/5 · 100%
Trades
71
Markets
7
Volume
$17.8K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?No $14K · now 42¢ · in at 38¢against the consensus (Yes)
Specialties
4 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 100¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where IDontLikeRisk's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 100%(won 100% of 4)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.