Consensus PnL $114K · win rate 51% (565–542, n=1107) · was PM monthly #1000 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$114.5K
Record
565W / 542L
Win Rate
51.0%
of 1107 settled
Batting Avg
66.8%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1129
Source
PM monthly #1000
Record (90 d)
246/494 · 50%
Trades
3,036
Markets
1,338
Volume
$786.3K
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Specialties
885 settled consensus markets · held side won 50% at an average entry of 41¢- Soccer
+9 pts
side won 50% of 883 · avg entry 41¢
ROI +6%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 48%(won 19% of 425)
- 30–50¢: 12%(won 51% of 109)
- 50–70¢: 13%(won 75% of 118)
- 70¢ and up: 26%(won 94% of 233)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.