Consensus PnL $3.8K · win rate 64% (624–353, n=977) · was PM monthly #993 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$3.8K
Record
624W / 353L
Win Rate
64.0%
of 977 settled
Batting Avg
46.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#971
Source
PM monthly #993
Trades
1,666
Markets
1,714
Volume
$207.7K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Spirit $106 · now 100¢ · in at 47¢with the consensus (49% of 83)
Specialties
189 settled consensus markets · held side won 93% at an average entry of 58¢- Crypto
+43 pts
side won 99% of 69 · avg entry 56¢
ROI +43%
- Esports
+30 pts
side won 89% of 120 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +31%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 10%(won 68% of 19)
- 30–50¢: 19%(won 89% of 35)
- 50–70¢: 44%(won 98% of 83)
- 70¢ and up: 28%(won 96% of 52)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.